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May 10, 2011 at 5:24 am #598871
hooper1961Memberthe us cannot continue to borrow money (the s__t will hit the fan) spend less and needs to tax more and. i hear the typical medicare person is getting $3 in benefits for each $1 contributed, this is not fair to future generations. and the wealthy should pay more in taxes. and those that failed to save should not be bailed out by the government.
May 10, 2011 at 6:21 am #724039
chrismaParticipantWell who pray tell did your “hear” this from, hooper?
And have you done any looking into the matter to see if there’s any truth to it, before starting this thread?
May 10, 2011 at 6:28 am #724040
JanSParticipantdear hooper…talk to my 86 and 87 yo parents who saved all their life, and see if medicare is a bounty of wealth for them. I’m sure they’d set you straight.Come up with facts, please. I hear the moon is made of cheese, but I don’t have any proof…should I believe that?
I am constantly amazed at people who want to “balance” the financial problems on the backs of those who can least afford it, yet they think nothing of more and more tax breaks to those that have most of the money. You’re right in the fact that something has to change. Tell the Republicans that, please…you’re preaching to the choir here. They just don’t like the solution that will work, since it’ll cost them their base of contributers.
May 10, 2011 at 4:29 pm #724041
JoBParticipanthooper1961
if we had a single payer health system for everyone..
you wouldn’t have to rant about those medicare payments…
May 10, 2011 at 4:38 pm #724042
DPMemberMay 10, 2011 at 5:03 pm #724043
KenParticipantIf you can’t supply a single link to back up your talk radio/fox stats I for one will consider you a troll.
Medicare (gummint) VS Medicare Advantage(private insurers under gummint rules)
(Note the stats are from the CBO.)
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/06/administrative-costs/
And a skeptics view:
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2009/07/administrative_costs_in_health.html
Also note: Which morons still think the medicare/medicaid system uses tax dollars from the general fund? If we had gotten a “Gummint” shutdown as the teabaggers wanted, they would still have gotten their SS checks and had their medical bills paid since both ss and medicare use trust funds paid into by FICA taxes. Both are considered “entitlements” due to being pre-paid insurance by withholding from their paychecks.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entitlement
Conservatives (freakin brainless wingnuts) are even using the word wrong:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Culture_of_entitlement
excerpt:
In the pejorative sense it is meant to imply it is most applicable not to social security and medicare– which are insurance programs paid for by the users– but to the “entitlement” of those who are the least needy. It is Wall Street, banks, the well-to-do who seem to act as if they are entitled to bail-outs, low tax rates and disproportionate utilization of the commons.
May 10, 2011 at 5:46 pm #724044
ikons697MemberMany neo conservatives scream for smaller government, but are fine with no separation of church and state and draconian drug laws. I’m not much of a pothead myself, but isn’t the police busting down someones door for using pot in their own house ‘big government’? Basically, they want small government where THEY want it and thats it….and big government is okay if it aligns with THEIR personal likes and dislikes….hence hypocrites and selfish a-holes.
May 10, 2011 at 6:11 pm #724045
redblackParticipantnailed it, ken.
who in his right mind looks at his check stub, sees the separate deductions for FICA and medicare, and still believes that those programs are contributing directly to the deficit in the general budget? the evidence to the contrary is right in front of him. or her.
any shortfalls in those programs occur because republican policy (with some democratic acquiescence) is to borrow so heavily from them as to make them insolvent. and it’s intentional. they’re trying to defund those programs in order to break them, then shift their revenues into private hands and charge interest.
if republicans and wall street “fix” them for us, the american taxpayer won’t see much change in his taxes, but his private retirement contributions will skyrocket, and his payout will suffer. all so some a-hole and his army of lobbyists can get wealthy skimming profits and interest.
anyway, welcome back, hooper. we’ve been starved for entertainment and/or mental gymnastics since smitty and HMC don’t come around any more.
i’m interested in knowing if you think your private retirement and medical insurance contributions are as solvent and beneficial as your government-administered safety nets. i submit that we won’t really find out until generation x starts retiring. most poor and middle-class baby boomers have good, old-fashioned pensions, and not as many IRA’s and 401(k)’s, or other for-profit financial instruments.
May 10, 2011 at 6:54 pm #724046
DPMemberWell Ken, there are lies and damned lies. And then there’s Wikipedia.
When I Googled the phrase: “Where is Social Security money kept?” I got a Wikipedia page with the following:
Unlike a typical private pension plan, the Social Security Trust Fund does not hold any marketable assets to secure workers’ paid-in contributions. Instead, it holds non-negotiable United States Treasury bonds and U.S. securities backed “by the full faith and credit of the government”.
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Security_Trust_Fund
—In other words, there’s no actual money in the SS Trust Fund. There’s just a big IOU from Uncle Sam. So you can call it a trust fund if you want, but it’s certainly not a trust fund in the typical sense of that word.
Same goes for Medicare, of course.
Now as to what kind of a critter SS is, exactly . . . yes, it is an entitlement. And no, that’s not a bad word.
But is it really a pre-paid insurance program? Not really.
Social Security is actually more like an annuity program: you pay in up front and then you get it back at the end. Problem is, the current funding model is not sustainable. As Americans live longer, they are receiving much more SS $$$ than they paid in. Meanwhile, new money coming into the system from payroll taxes has shrunk and will soon be insufficient to meet current or future obligations. (And the same is true for Medicare, only more so.)
So it’s pretty clear that the system is “broke.” But how broke? That’s the real question. A few years ago, Democrats were claiming that SS could be fixed with minor tweaks. Now they’re not so sure. Republicans, meanwhile, have proposed a variety of schemes (and I do mean shemes) for addressing the problem. Some want to do away with it all together, I suppose, but I don’t think anyone’s taking that option seriously.
As for me, I want to keep Social Security because it works; it keeps people out of the gutter. At the same time, I agree with Hooper’s previously expressed sentiments to the effect that folks should not view SS as their sole retirement plan, because it was never intended to be that. I also agree with Hooper’s oft-expressed view that people should try to live within their means.
Do you disagree with either of those two assertions in principle, Ken?
Frankly, I don’t see any fundamental contradiction between your outlook and Hooper’s. However, when people express their differences with words like “moron” and “leech” it tends to artificially magnify those differences. But I guess that’s why people like political blogs.
They’re like pro wrestling.
For the mind.
May 10, 2011 at 7:31 pm #724047
Genesee HillParticipantWelcome back, hooper!!! I have honestly missed you!!!
May 10, 2011 at 11:44 pm #724048
KenParticipantHmm Those same IOU’s are owned by many countries and off shore banks and considered assets. They own more now after 24 years of “deficits don’t matter” Republican and DLC war borrowing.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/18/us-federal-deficit-china-america-debt
This is the weakness you pin your entire house of cards on that? Treasury bonds are IOU’s?
So is your paycheck, your insurance policy and the damn cash in your pocket.
Every preppies trust fund is also an IOU and it depends on a functioning US economy the same way the US treasury bonds do.
Try again.
Horde your gold and lead (guns). Heavy metals will outlast us all.
And in a world where heavy metals and food are the only things of value, the wealthy better have more guns and gold (not gold certificates (IOU’s!)) or they will be eaten along with the elderly, the disabled (me) and the slowest of the politicians.
The failure of kleptocracies historically has been due to greed on the part of the plutocracy by not letting enough “bread and circuses” reach the poor and the middle class. We are seeing a historic over reach by what past generation labeled “the crazies”, egged on by the nuts in control of one or more of the “circuses”. The business/corporate plutocrats are gambling that they can return to the “Boom and Bust” cyclic economy used by 19th century financiers to fleece a new cycle of investors every 10 years. The gamble assumes the masses will sit quietly and listen to the propaganda (on their ipads) while the calender is turned back.
Conservatives are bent on rolling back the social safety net along with the regulation and tax incentives designed to keep some small controls on the financial sector, and prevent the rise of hereditary financial dynasties who can buy elections and politicians.
Oops. Too late.
Better start buying gold and guns.
Note: Nearly all republicans from Lincoln to Nixon would be considered Socialist Liberals by the current conservatives since they believed in labor unions, church state separation and the common good.
May 11, 2011 at 12:36 am #724049
DPMemberYeah, you’re right, Ken. When you take it to that level, the whole economy is a mirage. It’s one big house of cards. Holding off a collapse depends on maintaining the fiction that the dollar is worth what the public thinks its worth or what the government says it’s worth.
Fat cat investment bankers took advantage of the dollar value fiction by getting the Federal Reserve to inject money into the economy directly through them. As we recently learned, though, they don’t have to pay any of that money back if they should happen to lose it. (But who cares, it was only play money anyway, right?)
Keynesian liberals also take advantage of the dollar value fiction through deficit-financed social spending. Of course I like the liberals’ motives better than the investement bankers’ motives, but at the end of the day, the result is the same: We’re broke.
So we’re broke. No problem, right? Just print more money. Take on more public debt. Sell more T-bills to the Chinese. All backed by the (ahem) “full faith and credit of the United States of America.” (Really chokes me up every time I say that.)
Ken: Do you think it’s wise to keep financing deficits this way? Do you believe there will NEVER come a day of reckoning? Read the history books, man.
This really has nothing to do with gold and guns. It has to do with our financial solvency as a nation. It has to do with our ability to continue living in the lifestyle to which we’re accustomed.
Truth is, Americans CAN’T go on living that lifestyle much longer, just like we can’t keep polluting the earth and sucking more than our share of its resources. It’s a systemic problem and it must be solved systemically, by all parties agreeing to work together for the common good.
Ultimately that means you, and me, and yes, even Hooper, sitting down at the table together and deciding what to do.
Or . . . we can keep duking it out over who has “the answer.”
May 11, 2011 at 2:53 am #724050
JanSParticipantDP….you said “Meanwhile, new money coming into the system from payroll taxes has shrunk and will soon be insufficient to meet current or future obligations. (And the same is true for Medicare, only more so.)”
Could you elucidate and please explain exactly what you mean by “soon”? Is that 2013? 2025? 2054?
May 11, 2011 at 3:54 am #724051
dobroParticipantThe “debate” over SS is unbelievably annoying. It is a problem that has a completely obvious solution. Everybody is entitled to receive SS, correct? Why doesn’t everybody have to pay in? Why is the payment capped at 106,000 bucks?
How about this for a crazy idea- if we all get SS, we all have to pay, even if you make up to, say, 500,000 bucks? Problem solved. It’s so crazy it just might work!!
May 11, 2011 at 12:59 pm #724052
redblackParticipantKeynesian liberals also take advantage of the dollar value fiction through deficit-financed social spending. Of course I like the liberals’ motives better than the investement bankers’ motives, but at the end of the day, the result is the same: We’re broke.
no, we’re not broke. this country has a $15 trillion annual GDP.
look, dude. the new deal and social spending were working just fine, even through the vietnam war and the modest (compared to today’s debt) debt that it incurred.
reagan and greenspan did (at least) two awful things, and they did them intentionally:
1. they invented deficit spending, so that liberals would have to cut social programs in order to balance a budget. (remember reagan’s welfare queens?) democrats balked, so republicans cut taxes anyway, transferring our tax revenue to the top and handing us the bill.
in what way is that sound economic policy?
2. they “borrowed” from the SS trust fund to finance the hole in the budget so that the US wouldn’t default on its debt to foreign countries.
it’s a false analogy, but this is why people refer to SS as a ponzi scheme.
this country doesn’t have a spending problem. we have a revenue problem exacerbated by the fact that we have high unemployment, thanks to republican fiscal “policies” and democratic complicity.
when the top marginal tax rate was at 91% – under that commie freak eisenhower – this country was creating more wealth for a broader swath of the economic spectrum than any country in history.
and, what-ken-said about kleptocracy.
[edit: sorry for the half-finished thoughts. the coffee isn’t working its magic yet.]
May 11, 2011 at 4:07 pm #724053
DPMemberGood question on the dates, Jan. I did some research and there are many projected dates for when SS will be insolvent, ranging from:
It’s broke right now.
 ~ to ~
It will never go broke.
The optimistic projections (SS will never go broke) are based on assumptions about very robust economic growth and an influx of young workers.
The pessimistic projections (SS is broke right now) are based on the idea that the so-called trust fund doesn’t have any real assets in it anyway.
For simplicity let’s define “broke” as being when payments exceed receipts. Under that definition, the threshhold has already been crossed. Social Security was technically insolvent for the first time in March of last year.
Source NYT: http://tinyurl.com/busted-flat-n-bankrupt
However, that was a brief event caused by a temporary economic downturn. Absolute insolvency isn’t expected for several years: 2016 according to the NYT article above, 2037 according to liberal economist Paul Krugman.
Source: http://tinyurl.com/krugman-on-SS-trust-fund
Let’s play it safe and go with Krugman at 2037. That’s 26 years from now, or the same year a person who’s 39 years old today will be retiring. (That is, if SS still lets people retire at 65 by then.)
Does 26 years seem like an eternity to anyone here? I doubt it, considering that the average age of folks on this Blog must be at least 30.
Regardless of when SS actually does go broke, since we know that it WILL go broke if something doesn’t change, I think we need to start making changes now rather than putting them off.
It’s like global warming. We know there’s a problem, so let’s stop arguing and get working on the fix.
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redblack: At first I thought you agreed with Ken but I see I was wrong. If the goober-mint can rob Peter’s trust fund to pay Paul, then Peter doesn’t really have a trust fund, does he?
dobro: Yeah, raising the SS tax base would be a solution. It’s one I would support, too. But please understand that when you do that you are changing the nature of the SS program from being an entitlement (or pre-paid insurance program as Ken calls it) to being a tool for wealth redistribution.
Why do I say that? Because a person being payroll taxed on an income of a million dollars a year could never expect to get back out of SS as much as he put into it. At that point, SS goes from being an “insurance program” to being a tax program. At least for the rich guy.
Personally, I’d go with means testing over raising the tax base, but it amounts to the same thing: some people are putting money in that they know they’ll never get back out. Ergo: a tax.
As long as we go about it honestly, I say go ahead and tax. Just be prepared for some fall-out. As you may recall, people around these parts turned out in droves last year to vote against a very modest proposal known as I-1098.
May 11, 2011 at 6:16 pm #724054
dawsonctParticipantThe problem with means-testing, DP, is that then the ultra-cons can label it a welfare program, and we damned sure can’t be giving out WELFARE, can we?
—
Hoop, I hear what you are saying, but I would like to know how you feel about the FACT that the largest deficits EVER recorded in our history were created by Reagen and Cheney/bush. Also, how genuine do you really believe the outrage is, when deficits are NEVER discussed by Republicans or the corporate media whenever Republicans are in charge, but AS SOON as a Democrat ascends to office, it’s the ONLY THING THAT MATTERS.
I can’t find the graph, but recently saw one that shows the American media (controlled by corporations, NOT liberals) dwells on debt and deficits ONLY when Democrats are in control, despite the FACT that Republicans are FAR LESS likely to actually REDUCE spending.
Republican fiscal conservatism is PURELY and DEMONSTRABLY a myth.
May 11, 2011 at 7:32 pm #724055
TDeParticipantI agree with dobro. Raise the salary limit on paying into Social Security and that’ll fix a great deal of the social security funding problem. It’s true that not all who contribute will get back what they pay in… and that’s because Social Security is an insurance program. I’ve paid thousands more into private health insurance programs over the years than I’ve never gotten back, because I’m a pretty healthy person. I’ve also paid thousands into car insurance programs and never gotten much back, because I haven’t had more than a minor fender bender or two during my life. That’s the nature of insurance… If I open a new health insurance program and break my leg two weeks later, I get more back than I’ve paid in. If I pay health insurance for years and never go see a doctor, I’ll never get back what I’ve paid into it.
And just a snarky note.. I imagine there are some wealthy who pay more into their country clubs annually than they ever get back, so this shouldn’t seem much different to them.
Since Social Security is an insurance program safety net, everyone should be supporting it financially. And I think the wealthy should be able to draw SS in their elder years just like anyone else, after paying though, just like everyone else.
May 11, 2011 at 11:22 pm #724056
waynsterParticipantRaising the limits won’t fix social security last time I looked there was 9% unemployment still and until we get good paying jobs brought back into this country it will still suffer. As for medicare and medicaid even private insurance until health cost are brought under control and stops rising at alarming rates forget it. As for privatizing no way will I let some investment company blow up my retirement just so the rich can get richer….The GOP loves this idea..! wonder why they hate the middle class so much do the poor and suffering make better people?
May 12, 2011 at 2:44 am #724057
DPMemberTechnically speaking, Social Security is more like an annuity program than an insurance program. With SS, you’re not trying to beat the odds, and neither is the government. But even if it were an insurance-like game of chance, why would anybody put any extra money in the pot if they knew they stood a 0% chance of winning it back? Of course, they wouldn’t.
So again, raising the SS basis amount is actually a new form of taxation: there’s no added “insurance” benefit to the person who has to start paying more. Which is precisely why there’s been so much political resistance to the idea.
There’s another reason why SS is not like insurance. With life insurance for example, if you live, you lose (crazy, I know) but with SS, if you live, you win. Theoretically, the government wants everybody to win with SS, and that’s part of the problem. When they started the program, they didn’t figure on having so many winners around at the end of the game.
May 12, 2011 at 3:16 am #724058
redblackParticipantDP: social security is the bedrock of the new deal. yes, it’s a tax. yes, it’s collectivism. yes, it distributes wealth from those with means to those without.
does it smack of socialism a wee bit? okay. whatever. if you say so. but it isn’t authoritarianism, and it sure as hell isn’t marxism.
the benefit is that we won’t have our elderly parents and grandparents dying in the streets.
i’m not sure that that means anything to libertarians, though.
however, if you look at the whole privatization design, wall street is more than eager to get its hands on even a sliver of the $2.3 trillion that FICA brings in every year.
why do you think we’re having this discussion, after all? it has nothing to do with social security’s solvency, despite what big money is telling their lackeys.
al gore was right. we should have locked SS up 12 years ago and nipped this whole farcical argument in the bud.
May 12, 2011 at 2:28 pm #724059
TDeParticipantI suppose you could technically consider SS a type of annuity, but SS’s solvancy is based on continuing contributions from all working U.S. citizens (except those earning over the $106,800 cap) not just an annuitant’s original years of contribution plus interest. Like redblack mentioned though, the fact remains, winners at the end of the game or not, if the gov’t hadn’t dipped their hands into the SS pot, the pot would still be pretty full today, instead of emptying out rapidly. Al Gore was indeed correct!
If I were making over $106,800 annually though, I would be happy to continue to contribute to SS. I don’t know why some of those wealthy earners are so opposed to the elderly in this country being taken care of in their latter years.
And nice to hear from you Hooper.. You stimulate great conversation! :)
May 13, 2011 at 7:26 pm #724060
JanSParticipantfor DP, in answer to the question “how soon is “soon”..from the news today:
May 14, 2011 at 12:01 am #724061
waynsterParticipantAl Gore was right now if only those hanging chads from florida didn’t hang who knows. Thing is now its going to cost those of us who have been paying and keeping ss alive for the past 40 plus years just so our parents could retire now will you and I be able too…..?
May 14, 2011 at 12:07 am #724062
dobroParticipantThe answer is- yes, we’ll be fine if we can just keep the Rescumlicans from “fixing” SS.
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