Re: Polling Accuracy

#776852

DBP
Member

Even the tone of the pollster’s voice or the expression on his face can have an effect on the way a person answers his questions. It’s called the “Observer-Expectancy” effect, and there’s a whole sub-discipline devoted to this phenomenon in the world of academic research.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observer-expectancy_effect

Academic researchers take great pains to minimize the expectancy effect in their studies, but pollsters are under no such constraints. Sure, you might hear a poll being described by some media outlet as “scientific” or “accurate to within +/- # of points,” but that’s really just puffery. Most polling methods in use today wouldn’t make it past a high-school psych teacher.