May 1, 2008 at 7:25 pm
#617929
JoB
Participant
forthose who might want the shorthand method the three conditions… from the article i cited above.. and didn’t mention.
and yes, i know it is wishful thinking that any of these has been substantively met… :)
but these are some real benchmarks to look for.
* a campaign-ending scandal or gaffe by Obama
* a highly improbable series of victories by Hillary Clinton in primaries she is expected to lose (such as North Carolina and Oregon)
* a raft of polls showing Clinton defeating McCain handily while Obama is losing to McCain decisively (most current polls show relatively little difference in the Obama-McCain and Clinton-McCain national match-ups, though the prospective contests in individual states vary considerably)