New Yorker article about the coming Cascadia earthquake

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  • #817916

    transplantella
    Participant

    Interesting read.

    From the article,

    “Kenneth Murphy, who directs FEMA’s Region X, the division responsible for Oregon, Washington, Idaho, and Alaska, says, “Our operating assumption is that everything west of Interstate 5 will be toast.”

    http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one

    #825862

    JoB
    Participant

    a report like this should be a head’s up..

    but if we aren’t paying attention to a volcano on our doorstep it’s unlikely we will pay attention to this..

    besides.. we’d never get past the traffic jam..

    better hope that our high point is high enough

    #825863

    PangolinPie
    Participant

    Personally, I’m looking forward to finally owning some beachfront property!

    Seriously, though; I’m kind of frightened at the thought of being trapped downtown if this happens. There are probably not going to be a lot of options to get to WS. I imagine walking from my workplace, either to the main bridge or the 1st Ave. bridge. You can bet I always have walking shoes with me in my backpack (and an emergency granola bar or two). But if it happens, it’s going to be a mess.

    #825864

    transplantella
    Participant

    Just bumped into an AMA on Reddit right now:

    “We are earthquake experts. Ask us anything about The Really Big One coming for the Pacific Northwest.”

    answering questions –

    John Vidale, director of the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network

    Debbie Goetz of Seattle’s Emergency Management Office

    Sandi Doughton, science writer at The Seattle Times

    and also discussing the New Yorker article.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/3da1mh/we_are_earthquake_experts_ask_us_anything_about

    #825865

    PangolinPie
    Participant

    Thanks for that link, Transplantella. /r/Seattle is all over it too, as you might imagine.

    #825866

    WSB
    Keymaster

    The eventuality of a ginormous earthquake here is old news but if an East Coast article is what it takes to get people to finally pay attention, yay. The most important website you can look at right now if you’re now awakened:

    West Seattle Be Prepared site map

    Covering the local folks, we’ve been writing about and evangelizing local preparedness from our earliest commercial days. Please look up your nearest hub. And important preparedness info. Let’s not let apocalyptic despair “what does it matter if we’re all gonna be pulverized?” prevent preparedness … TR

    #825867

    JayDee
    Participant

    Be prepared, but not for a Cascadian Subduction Quake. A Cascadian Subduction zone earthquake is not the peril to Seattle that this article points out. First we are distant from it–the best news. And the science is at best inexact on to the impacts on Seattle. What happens here will be more akin to the Nisqaully quake in 2001–what is your home sitting on, is there liquefaction?

    They are still researching that subduction zone and the error bars on the effects are ginormous (I am surprised WSB didn’t quote that superlative above).

    A local quake, along well known and studied faults should be more of a concern to us than a subduction quake and again, it may be worse or better than the Nisqually quake but “Everything west of I-5 is toast” is fearmongering.

    #825868

    anonyme
    Participant

    Very interesting article.

    I wonder which will take us out first? The mega-quake and tsunami; catastrophic failure of the planet (predicted to occur within the century) due to climate change; or mass extinction due to overpopulation and other human activity (already past the tipping point). Or a perfect storm of all three?

    Hmmm. Think I’ll have a beer.

    #825869

    Sue
    Participant

    PangolinPie, I work downtown, and at the safety meetings in my building they told us to have supplies to assume we could be stuck in the building 3-5 days in the event of an emergency for exactly that reason – being stuck downtown and unable to get home. I’m hoping that never happens.

    #825870

    wakeflood
    Participant

    I guess I need to get a job at Le Panier, Sue. :-)

    #825871

    PangolinPie
    Participant

    Yeah, I need to start hoarding crackers and breakfast bars and bottled water in my desk drawers! I have a feeling that if TSHTF I’m gonna be living off mustard packets and the crumbs under my keyboard… ;)

    #825872

    Stumbledore
    Member

    Hopefully climate change gets to us first.

    “Everything west of I-5” being “unrecognizable” doesn’t sound good.

    #825873

    LackingStyle
    Participant

    ‘just think about how aggressive those Orcas will get once hopped up on all the weed from the Medical Dispenseries that iwll be under water after the quake-nami

    #825874

    Stumbledore
    Member

    “One orca ate over 900 pounds of medical grade marijuana edibles, and is now running for Mayor.”

    #825875

    PangolinPie
    Participant

    I for one welcome our new stoned orca overlords…

    #825876

    LackingStyle
    Participant

    Yes!

    #825877

    JanS
    Participant

    so all the griping about the unfettered growth in West Seattle is a moot point, since we’re all doomed anyway?

    #825878

    metrognome
    Participant

    interesting that the article doesn’t mention the latest conspiracy theory that the earthquake, tsunami and concurrent volcano explosions are all part of President Obama’s plan to a) divert attention to the NW while US troops invade Texas, confiscate all the guns and imprison true patriots in abandoned Walmart stores (guarded by Chinese soldiers,) and b) use the resulting chaos to declare himself ‘dictator for life.’

    also, the article doesn’t mention the post-apocalyptic rise of the zombies.

    #825879

    metrognome
    Participant

    on a more serious note … sorry, had to split the URL so it wouldn’t interfere with the ads. it may be easier to go to http://www.slate.com/ and search for ‘seattle earthquake.’

    http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/07/

    kathryn_schulz_s_new_yorker_story_on_pacific_northwest_

    earthquake_geologists.html

    #825880

    JoB
    Participant

    i suspect the orcas would do a better job of governing

    #825881

    anonyme
    Participant

    Amen to that.

    I actually have a little fantasy that orcas will rule the new waterworld once our species is toast (literally). They are highly intelligent, and better equipped than we are to deal with complex social issues.

    #825882

    Stumbledore
    Member

    Orcas don’t blog. Thankfully.

    #825883

    JoB
    Participant

    stumbledore..

    it’s evident that you haven’t spent much time listening to the orcaphone…

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